Skip to main content

Disinformation: Belarus and Russia Defend Ukraine from Aggressive Poland

Recently, social media and news channels linked to Russia and China have been intensifying their propaganda campaign aimed at MENA countries, presenting Poland as the aggressor and Belarus and Russia as defenders of Ukraine. There is a clear narrative line in propaganda sources linked to Moscow and Beijing, which is intended to cause confusion and undermine the credibility of Poland and its allies.
The media coverage attempts to present Belarus and Russia as forces defending the stability of the region from Poland’s “imperialist ambitions.” This narrative fits into the broader context of Russia and China’s strategic influence on audiences in Arab countries, who may be less familiar with the actual events in Eastern Europe. Creating an alternative reality, where Poland is the aggressor towards Ukraine, and Belarus (in alliance with Russia) defends its weaker neighbour, is an example of manipulation, which exploits information gaps and ignorance of recipients in MENA countries.

Manipulation Method

This is a classic example of a disinformation manipulation strategy, known as a “false flag”. By reversing roles and suggesting that Poland is planning aggression, Russian and Chinese propaganda undermines the image of the West as a stable and democratic defender of freedom. This type of disinformation aims to create distrust towards European countries, while strengthening the position of Russia and its allies as stabilizers in the international arena.

Campaign Goal

The goal of this campaign is to arouse sympathy for Russia and Belarus and discourage public opinion in MENA countries from supporting Poland and the West more broadly. Such messages can affect diplomatic and political relations, as well as the perception of the Ukrainian conflict. Russia and China are using these narratives to strengthen their influence in the MENA region, building an image of themselves as defenders of international stability and opponents of “Western aggression.” Such disinformation manipulations can lead to a distorted geopolitical picture in regions far from Europe, which is part of a long-term strategy to undermine the West’s international alliances and influence.


A public task financed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Poland within the frame of “Public Diplomacy 2024-2025: The European Dimension and Countering Disinformation” contest.


Installation of the Missile Defense System in Redzikowo as a Target of Russian Propaganda AttacksCultureEducationPoliticsSecurityTechnology

Installation of the Missile Defense System in Redzikowo as a Target of Russian Propaganda Attacks

ShaffafiyaShaffafiya2025-12-15
In Jordan’s media environment, the war in Iran is not presented as a distant geopolitical event. It is framed as a development with direct implications for national security, economic stability, and regional balance. This shift is not accidental. It reflects the interaction between the structure of the local media ecosystem and the strategic activity of external actors seeking to shape perception rather than simply transmit information. The key dynamic is not the promotion of a single narrative, but the gradual construction of an interpretive environment in which audiences are guided toward specific conclusions about responsibility, risk, and trust. The Media Ecosystem as a Vector of Influence Jordan’s media landscape operates through a functional balance. Official sources and mainstream outlets emphasize stability, procedural clarity, and institutional authority. At the same time, fast-moving digital platforms and social media accelerate the circulation of information and amplify emotional engagement. External actors do not attempt to replace this system. Instead, they integrate into it. Institutional messaging is reinforced by emotionally charged content, while fast-paced reporting creates opportunities for selective amplification. Newswire-style content, in particular, enables rapid secondary dissemination, often detached from its original context. As a result, audiences experience an apparent plurality of sources, while in reality operating within a constrained field of interpretation. The Russian Model of Information Influence Russian activity in the region is not based on overt propaganda, but on a layered communication strategy. At the institutional level, messaging is framed in the language of international law, sovereignty, and stability. Russia positions itself as a rational diplomatic actor advocating de-escalation and political solutions. At the media level, outlets such as RT Arabic and Sputnik Arabic adapt this framework to mass audiences. They emphasize divisions within the West, highlight uncertainty in decision-making processes, and foreground the economic and security costs for the region. At the agency level, content distributed through newswire formats achieves high penetrability. Some of these messages introduce ambiguity or unverified elements, increasing informational friction and uncertainty. This structure does not impose a single narrative. It creates an ecosystem in which interpretation is guided rather than dictated. Strategic Objectives The primary objective is not to align Jordan or the broader region with a specific geopolitical bloc. The goals are more indirect and cumulative. First, to reinforce the perception that the conflict is “someone else’s war,” while its consequences are borne by regional actors. This framing encourages caution and strategic distance. Second, to weaken trust in the West as a coherent and reliable partner by highlighting divergences in policy and intent. Third, to position Russia as an alternative diplomatic actor capable of understanding regional realities and acting pragmatically. Fourth, to anchor the conflict in economic and energy-related concerns, making it more tangible and relevant to everyday life. Why These Narratives Resonate The effectiveness of these narratives lies in their alignment with existing sensitivities. In Jordan, internal stability, economic security, and avoidance of external entanglements are central concerns. Messages framed around sovereignty, cost, and regional risk do not appear foreign. They resonate with established patterns of perception. Repetition across multiple platforms further reinforces credibility, even when the underlying sources are interconnected. How to Respond The first step is to distinguish between information and interpretation. Not all analysis is neutral; some content is designed to guide conclusions rather than explain events. The second is source verification. The presence of identical information across multiple outlets does not necessarily indicate independent confirmation. The third is awareness of emotional triggers. Content that provokes fear, urgency, or anger is often structured to maximize reach rather than accuracy. The fourth is maintaining trust in credible sources while applying consistent critical evaluation. Conclusion Jordan’s media ecosystem is not a passive recipient of external influence. It is an active environment in which narratives interact, compete, and reinforce one another. External actors, including Russia, operate within this system, adapting their messaging to local dynamics and sensitivities. Understanding these mechanisms does not require rejecting external information. It requires recognizing that information can function as an instrument of influence, shaping perception as much as it reflects reality.
How External Actors Use Jordan’s Media Ecosystem: Mechanisms, Objectives, and ResponsesIranJordanPoliticsSecurity

How External Actors Use Jordan’s Media Ecosystem: Mechanisms, Objectives, and Responses

ShaffafiyaShaffafiya2026-04-02
Disinformation about NATO’s Intervention in Belarus and “Defending Ukraine from Poland” – Elements of Russia’s Coherent Propaganda StrategyCultureEducationPoliticsSecurityTechnology

Disinformation about NATO’s Intervention in Belarus and “Defending Ukraine from Poland” – Elements of Russia’s Coherent Propaganda Strategy

ShaffafiyaShaffafiya2025-12-15